🗳️ Elections
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4)

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4) — Above 175

Live
Resolves Oct 6, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
65%
No
35%
No (35%)Yes (65%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 65%.

About this market

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 175 from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4)

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4) — Above 150
88%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4) — Above 200
41%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4) — Above 225
15%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4) — Above 250
2%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
65%
probability of YES
Kalshi
65%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Oct 6, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryElections
StatusOpen