🗳️ Elections
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11)

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 200

Live
Resolves Oct 13, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
36%
No
64%
No (64%)Yes (36%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$522
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 36%.

About this market

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 200 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11)

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 150
97%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 175
78%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 225
8%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 250
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
36%
probability of YES
Kalshi
36%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 13, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$522
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen