🎯 Other
What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 22, 2026?
What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 22, 2026? — Magnitude of at least 6.2
Live
Resolves Sep 22, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$12
Liquidity
—
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 2%.
About this market
If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Sep 22, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 22, 2026?
What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 22, 2026? — Magnitude of at least 5.6
40%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 22, 2026? — Magnitude of at least 5.4
32%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 22, 2026? — Magnitude of at least 6.0
24%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 22, 2026? — Magnitude of at least 5.2
20%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 22, 2026? — Magnitude of at least 5.8
13%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 22, 2026? — Magnitude of at least 6.4
13%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 22, 2026? — Magnitude of at least 6.6
8%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 22, 2026? — Magnitude of at least 6.8
7%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 22, 2026? — Magnitude of at least 7.0
4%
Resolution
Sep 22, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$12
Liquidity—
CategoryOther
StatusOpen