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What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 22, 2026?

What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 22, 2026? — Magnitude of at least 7.0

Live
Resolves Sep 22, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$233
Liquidity
$86

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 1%.

About this market

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Sep 22, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 7.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 22, 2026?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Sep 22, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$233
Liquidity$86
CategoryOther
StatusOpen