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What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 22, 2026?

What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 22, 2026? — Magnitude of at least 6.2

Live
Resolves Sep 22, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
25%
No
75%
No (75%)Yes (25%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$6
Liquidity
$6

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 25%.

About this market

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Sep 22, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 22, 2026?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
25%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Sep 22, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6
Liquidity$6
CategoryOther
StatusOpen