🗳️ Elections
Brazil presidential runoff: Lula margin of victory

Brazil presidential runoff: Lula margin of victory — Lula da Silva, ≥1%

Live
Resolves Oct 25, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
11%
No
89%
No (89%)Yes (11%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$533

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 11%.

About this market

If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff is at or above 1%, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Brazil presidential runoff: Lula margin of victory

Brazil presidential runoff: Lula margin of victory — Lula da Silva, ≥3%
7%
Brazil presidential runoff: Lula margin of victory — Lula da Silva, ≥5%
6%
Brazil presidential runoff: Lula margin of victory — Lula da Silva, ≥9%
2%
Brazil presidential runoff: Lula margin of victory — Lula da Silva, ≥7%
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
11%
probability of YES
Kalshi
11%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 25, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$533
CategoryElections
StatusOpen