🗳️ Elections
Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round)

Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round) — Ronaldo Caiado

Live
Resolves Oct 4, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
34%
No
66%
No (66%)Yes (34%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$40
Liquidity
$1k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 34%. Kalshi has moved down 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Ronaldo Caiado finishes in 5th place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round)

Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round) — Renan Santos
14%
Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round) — Romeu Zema
10%
Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round) — Augusto Cury
5%
Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round) — Samara
1%
Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round) — Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
1%
Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round) — Edmilson Costa
1%
Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round) — Rui Costa Pimenta
1%
Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round) — Clariana Barão
1%
Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round) — Hertz Dias
1%
Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round) — Flávio Bolsonaro
1%
Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round) — Pablo Marçal
1%
Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round) — Wilson Grassi
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
34%
probability of YES
Kalshi
34%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Oct 4, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$40
Liquidity$1k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen