🗳️ Elections
Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?

Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win? — Amazonas

Live
Resolves Oct 25, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
41%
No
59%
No (59%)Yes (41%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$584
Liquidity
$534

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 41%.

About this market

If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Amazonas in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?

Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win? — Roraima
97%
Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win? — Tocantins
89%
Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win? — Minas Gerais
88%
Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win? — Amapá
68%
Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win? — Pará
12%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
41%
probability of YES
Kalshi
41%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 25, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$584
Liquidity$534
CategoryElections
StatusOpen