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European Central Bank rate decision in October

European Central Bank rate decision in October — Cut 1-25bps

Live
Resolves Oct 29, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$10k
Liquidity
$10k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 1%. Kalshi has moved down 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the European Central Bank takes the action of Cut 1-25bps at October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · European Central Bank rate decision in October

European Central Bank rate decision in October — Maintain current rate
95%
European Central Bank rate decision in October — Hike 1-25bps
4%
European Central Bank rate decision in October — Cut more than 25bps
1%
European Central Bank rate decision in October — Hike more than 25bps
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Kalshi
1%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 29, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$10k
Liquidity$10k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen