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Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December

Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December — Hike 1-25bps

Live
Resolves Dec 4, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
42%
No
58%
No (58%)Yes (42%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 42%.

About this market

If the Reserve Bank of India takes the action of hike 1-25bps at its December Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December

Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December — Maintain current rate
35%
Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December — Hike more than 25bps
8%
Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December — Cut 1-25bps
3%
Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December — Cut more than 25bps
2%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
42%
probability of YES
Kalshi
42%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Dec 4, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryOther
StatusOpen