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Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December

Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December — Cut 1-25bps

Live
Resolves Dec 4, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
3%
No
97%
No (97%)Yes (3%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$3k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 3%.

About this market

If the Reserve Bank of India takes the action of cut 1-25bps at its December Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December

Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December — Hike 1-25bps
42%
Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December — Maintain current rate
35%
Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December — Hike more than 25bps
8%
Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December — Cut more than 25bps
2%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
3%
probability of YES
Kalshi
3%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Dec 4, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$3k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen