🗳️ Elections

Will China announce looser rare-earth export curbs to the U.S. in Sep 2026?

Live
Resolves Oct 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
50%
No
50%
No (50%)Yes (50%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$220
Liquidity
—

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 50%.

About this market

If a listed news source reports before Oct 1, 2026 that China announced an easing of its rare-earth export restrictions affecting the United States during September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
50%
probability of YES
Kalshi
50%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$220
Liquidity—
CategoryElections
StatusOpen