📊 Macro
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY)
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.8%
Live
Resolves Jan 13, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
8%
No
92%
No (92%)Yes (8%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$7k
Liquidity
$7k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 8%. Kalshi has moved down 41pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.8% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY)
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.3%
97%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.2%
96%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.1%
96%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.4%
93%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.0%
93%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.5%
70%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.6%
47%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.7%
42%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.2%
10%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.8%
5%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.0%
4%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.6%
4%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.3%
4%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 5.0%
4%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.1%
4%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.9%
3%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.7%
3%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.4%
3%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.5%
2%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.9%
2%
Resolution
Jan 13, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen