📊 Macro
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)

Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.8%

Live
Resolves Dec 10, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
34%
No
66%
No (66%)Yes (34%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$28k
Liquidity
$31k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 34%. Kalshi has moved down 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.8% in the twelve months ending November 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)

Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.4%
98%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.3%
98%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.2%
97%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.1%
97%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.0%
97%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.5%
96%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.6%
83%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.7%
54%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.9%
9%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.0%
4%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.4%
4%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.1%
4%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.5%
4%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.2%
3%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.3%
3%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 5.0%
2%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.6%
2%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.8%
2%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.7%
2%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.9%
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
34%
probability of YES
Kalshi
34%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Dec 10, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$28k
Liquidity$31k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen