🗳️ Elections
Will the Clarity Act become law?

Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Jan 1, 2028

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2028Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
30%
No
70%
No (70%)Yes (30%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$20
Liquidity
$54k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 30%. Kalshi has moved up 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If a crypto market structure bill has become law before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will the Clarity Act become law?

Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Oct 1, 2027
14%
Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Jul 1, 2027
10%
Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Apr 1, 2027
8%
Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Jan 1, 2027
7%
Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Dec 1, 2026
5%
Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Nov 1, 2026
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
30%
probability of YES
Kalshi
30%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Jan 1, 2028
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$20
Liquidity$54k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen