🗳️ Elections

Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day?

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
30%
No
70%
No (70%)Yes (30%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$7k
Liquidity
$6k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 30%.

About this market

If the United States has imposed a ban on exports of diesel that has gone into effect after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
30%
probability of YES
Kalshi
30%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$7k
Liquidity$6k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen