🗳️ Elections

Will the Department of Defense be renamed the Department of War by law in 2026?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
43%
No
57%
No (57%)Yes (43%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$9
Liquidity
$13k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 43%. Kalshi has moved up 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If legislation that makes “Department of War” the official statutory name of the United States Department of Defense has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
43%
probability of YES
Kalshi
43%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$9
Liquidity$13k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen