🎯 Other
State of the economy at the end of 2026

State of the economy at the end of 2026 — Stagflation

Live
Resolves Jan 13, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
4%
No
96%
No (96%)Yes (4%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$10k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 4%. Kalshi has moved up 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · State of the economy at the end of 2026

State of the economy at the end of 2026 — Overheating
68%
State of the economy at the end of 2026 — Soft landing
33%
State of the economy at the end of 2026 — Slack / disinflation
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
4%
probability of YES
Kalshi
4%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Jan 13, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$10k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen