🎯 Other
State of the economy at the end of 2026

State of the economy at the end of 2026 — Overheating

Live
Resolves Jan 13, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
68%
No
32%
No (32%)Yes (68%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$35k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 68%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · State of the economy at the end of 2026

State of the economy at the end of 2026 — Soft landing
33%
State of the economy at the end of 2026 — Stagflation
4%
State of the economy at the end of 2026 — Slack / disinflation
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
68%
probability of YES
Kalshi
68%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 13, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$35k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen