🎯 Other
October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP
October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP — U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 50-99k
Live
Resolves Nov 6, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
10%
No
90%
No (90%)Yes (10%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 10%. Kalshi has moved down 88pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 50-99k, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP
October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP — U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 100k or above
20%
October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP — U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k
15%
October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP — U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 50-99k
14%
October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP — U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 100k or above
11%
October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP — U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 100k or above
6%
October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP — U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: Below 50k
1%
October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP — U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: Below 50k
1%
October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP — U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k
1%
October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP — U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 50-99k
1%
October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP — U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: Below 50k
1%
October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP — U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 100k or above
1%
Resolution
Nov 6, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryOther
StatusOpen