📊 Macro
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 4.25%

Live
Resolves Dec 9, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
40%
No
60%
No (60%)Yes (40%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$27k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 40%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.25% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 3.00%
99%
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 2.75%
99%
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 3.25%
98%
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 3.50%
97%
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 3.75%
97%
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 4.00%
82%
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 4.50%
4%
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 5.00%
2%
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 4.75%
2%
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 5.25%
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
40%
probability of YES
Kalshi
40%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Dec 9, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$27k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen