📊 Macro
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 4.25%

Live
Resolves Apr 28, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
83%
No
17%
No (17%)Yes (83%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$4k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 83%. Kalshi has moved up 30pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.25% following the Federal Reserve's Apr 28, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 2.25%
99%
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 0.00%
99%
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 0.25%
99%
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 2.00%
98%
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 2.75%
98%
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 2.50%
98%
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 1.75%
98%
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 1.00%
97%
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 1.25%
97%
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 0.75%
97%
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 3.75%
96%
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 3.25%
96%
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 4.00%
96%
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 3.00%
96%
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 3.50%
95%
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 1.50%
92%
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 0.50%
92%
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 5.50%
83%
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 4.50%
73%
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 4.75%
37%
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 5.00%
9%
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 5.25%
3%
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 6.00%
3%
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 5.75%
3%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
83%
probability of YES
Kalshi
83%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Apr 28, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$4k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen