📊 Macro
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 4.25%

Live
Resolves Mar 17, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
88%
No
12%
No (12%)Yes (88%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 88%. Kalshi has moved up 43pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.25% following the Federal Reserve's Mar 17, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 2.00%
99%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 0.25%
99%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 2.50%
99%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 1.00%
97%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 0.75%
97%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 0.50%
95%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 1.25%
94%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 0.00%
93%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 1.50%
93%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 1.75%
93%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 2.75%
93%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 3.00%
92%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 3.50%
91%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 2.25%
86%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 3.25%
84%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 4.75%
81%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 4.00%
66%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 3.75%
64%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 4.50%
52%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 6.00%
50%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 5.25%
50%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 5.00%
50%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 5.50%
50%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 5.75%
25%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
88%
probability of YES
Kalshi
88%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Mar 17, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$2k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen