📊 Macro
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 4.50%

Live
Resolves Oct 27, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
82%
No
18%
No (18%)Yes (82%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$1
Liquidity
$1

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 82%. Kalshi has moved up 32pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.50% following the Federal Reserve's Oct 27, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 0.75%
99%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 3.25%
99%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 2.00%
99%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 1.25%
99%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 1.50%
99%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 0.50%
99%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 2.50%
99%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 2.75%
99%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 1.75%
99%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 3.00%
99%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 0.25%
99%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 2.25%
99%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 1.00%
99%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 4.00%
97%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 4.25%
95%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 0.00%
92%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 3.50%
78%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 3.75%
75%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 6.00%
65%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 5.75%
65%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 5.50%
65%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 5.25%
65%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 4.75%
51%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 5.00%
50%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
82%
probability of YES
Kalshi
82%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 27, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1
Liquidity$1
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen