📊 Macro
Fed decision in Jul 2027?

Fed decision in Jul 2027? — Hike >25bps

Live
Resolves Jul 28, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$899
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 1%. Kalshi has moved down 9pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of >25bps on July 28, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Fed decision in Jul 2027?

Fed decision in Jul 2027? — Fed maintains rate
84%
Fed decision in Jul 2027? — Hike 25bps
12%
Fed decision in Jul 2027? — Cut 25bps
4%
Fed decision in Jul 2027? — Cut >25bps
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Kalshi
1%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jul 28, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$899
Liquidity$2k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen