🗳️ Elections

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Édouard Philippe

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Resolves Jun 30, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

90%

10%

No (10%)Yes (90%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 90%. Kalshi has moved up 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Édouard Philippe is officially certified, approved, or confirmed to appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

96%

Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

94%

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Marine Le Pen

92%

Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

92%

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Jean-Luc Mélenchon

87%

Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

86%

Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

84%

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Éric Zemmour

83%

Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

81%

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Fabien Roussel

79%

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Nathalie Arthaud

77%

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

67%

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Bruno Retailleau

67%

Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

66%

Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

62%

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

61%

Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

56%

Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

53%

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Gérald Darmanin

50%

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Jean Lassalle

50%

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Raphaël Glucksmann

41%

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — François Hollande

40%

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Dominique de Villepin

37%

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Gabriel Attal

31%

Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

31%

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — François Ruffin

29%

Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

28%

Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

27%

Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

27%

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Marine Tondelier

27%

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

90%

probability of YES

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Resolution

Jun 30, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume—

Liquidity$248

CategoryElections

StatusOpen