🗳️ Elections

Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

Live
Resolves Oct 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
23%
No
77%
No (77%)Yes (23%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$63k

About this market

If the United States federal government is at least partially shut down due to a lapse of appropriations at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
23%
probability of YES
Kalshi
23%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$63k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen