🗳️ Elections
How many Senate and Governor races will Republicans win in Harris states?

How many Senate and Governor races will Republicans win in Harris states? — 2

Live
Resolves Dec 15, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
42%
No
58%
No (58%)Yes (42%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$10k
Liquidity
$3k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 42%.

About this market

If the number of 2026 U.S. Senate (including special elections) and gubernatorial general elections, held in the 19 states that Kamala Harris carried in the 2024 presidential election, won by a nominee of the Republican Party is exactly 2 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · How many Senate and Governor races will Republicans win in Harris states?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
42%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Dec 15, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$10k
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen