🎯 Other
US employer health insurance cost growth in Q3 2026
US employer health insurance cost growth in Q3 2026 — Above 5.5%
Live
Resolves Oct 30, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
93%
No
7%
No (7%)Yes (93%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 93%. Kalshi has moved up 2pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the year-over-year increase in U.S. private-industry employer health-benefit costs for September 2026 is above 5.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · US employer health insurance cost growth in Q3 2026
US employer health insurance cost growth in Q3 2026 — Above 4.5%
99%
US employer health insurance cost growth in Q3 2026 — Above 5.0%
99%
US employer health insurance cost growth in Q3 2026 — Above 6.0%
69%
US employer health insurance cost growth in Q3 2026 — Above 6.5%
22%
US employer health insurance cost growth in Q3 2026 — Above 7.5%
3%
US employer health insurance cost growth in Q3 2026 — Above 7.0%
2%
Resolution
Oct 30, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryOther
StatusOpen