🗳️ Elections
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place — Conservative Party
Live
Resolves Oct 8, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
44%
No
56%
No (56%)Yes (44%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 44%.
About this market
If the certified results place Conservative Party in 3rd place in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place — Reform UK
43%
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place — Workers Party
6%
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place — Liberal Democrats
6%
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place — Restore Britain
2%
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place — UKIP - NO to Illegal Immigration
1%
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place — Climate Party
1%
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place — UK VOICE safer and stronger UK
1%
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place — Christian Peoples Alliance
1%
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place — Labour Party
1%
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place — Green Party
1%
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place — Rejoin EU
1%
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place — Tom Darwood
1%
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place — Communist League
1%
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place — Official Monster Raving Loony Party
1%
Resolution
Oct 8, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryElections
StatusOpen