🗳️ Elections
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 40
Live
Resolves Oct 13, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$300
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 5%.
About this market
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 40 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 10
96%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 15
94%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 20
80%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 25
41%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 30
14%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 35
8%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 50
3%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 45
3%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 75
2%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 100
2%
Resolution
Oct 13, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$300
CategoryElections
StatusOpen