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IL-04 House winner?

IL-04 House winner? — Mayra Macías

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$68
Liquidity
$1k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 1%. Kalshi has moved down 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the House member sworn in for IL-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is Mayra Macías (as an independent), then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · IL-04 House winner?

IL-04 House winner? — Patty Garcia
91%
IL-04 House winner? — Chris Getty
10%
IL-04 House winner? — Lupe Castillo
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Kalshi
1%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$68
Liquidity$1k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen