🗳️ Elections
How many House seats will Independents win in the Midterms?

How many House seats will Independents win in the Midterms? — At least 1

Live
Resolves Jan 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
22%
No
78%
No (78%)Yes (22%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 22%.

About this market

If the number of U.S. House seats won by candidates unaffiliated with a political party is at least 1 in the 2026 U.S. House elections, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · How many House seats will Independents win in the Midterms?

How many House seats will Independents win in the Midterms? — At least 2
10%
How many House seats will Independents win in the Midterms? — At least 3
7%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
22%
probability of YES
Kalshi
22%Check
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Resolution
Jan 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryElections
StatusOpen