Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act? — Before 2027

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 19%. Kalshi has moved up 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?