🗳️ Elections

Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?

Live
Resolves Mar 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
4%
No
96%
No (96%)Yes (4%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$185
Liquidity
$106k

About this market

If Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index is at least 6.00 as published in the EIU Democracy Index 2026 report, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
4%
probability of YES
Kalshi
4%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Mar 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$185
Liquidity$106k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen