🎯 Other
Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 17, 2026

Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 17, 2026 — At least 200,000

Live
Resolves Oct 22, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
48%
No
52%
No (52%)Yes (48%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$728
Liquidity
$751

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 48%.

About this market

If there are at least 200,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 17, 2026

Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 17, 2026 — At least 170000
99%
Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 17, 2026 — At least 150000
99%
Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 17, 2026 — At least 155000
99%
Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 17, 2026 — At least 160000
99%
Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 17, 2026 — At least 145000
97%
Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 17, 2026 — At least 165000
97%
Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 17, 2026 — At least 175,000
97%
Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 17, 2026 — At least 140000
96%
Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 17, 2026 — At least 180,000
95%
Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 17, 2026 — At least 130000
93%
Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 17, 2026 — At least 125000
91%
Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 17, 2026 — At least 135000
91%
Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 17, 2026 — At least 185,000
90%
Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 17, 2026 — At least 190,000
85%
Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 17, 2026 — At least 195,000
79%
Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 17, 2026 — At least 205,000
29%
Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 17, 2026 — At least 210,000
6%
Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 17, 2026 — At least 225,000
5%
Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 17, 2026 — At least 220,000
4%
Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 17, 2026 — At least 215,000
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
48%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Oct 22, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$728
Liquidity$751
CategoryOther
StatusOpen