🗳️ Elections
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?

Kash Patel out as FBI Director? — Before Dec 1, 2026

Live
Resolves Dec 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
13%
No
87%
No (87%)Yes (13%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
$40k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 13%. Kalshi has moved down 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Kash Patel out as FBI Director?

Kash Patel out as FBI Director? — Before Jan 1, 2029
93%
Kash Patel out as FBI Director? — Before Jul 1, 2028
79%
Kash Patel out as FBI Director? — Before Jan 1, 2028
61%
Kash Patel out as FBI Director? — Before Oct 1, 2027
46%
Kash Patel out as FBI Director? — Before Jul 1, 2027
45%
Kash Patel out as FBI Director? — Before Apr 1, 2027
38%
Kash Patel out as FBI Director? — Before Nov 1, 2026
4%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
13%
probability of YES
Kalshi
13%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Dec 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity$40k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen