📊 Macro
Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year? — In 2026

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
3%
No
97%
No (97%)Yes (3%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$31
Liquidity
$222k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 3%. Kalshi has moved up 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
3%
probability of YES
Kalshi
3%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$31
Liquidity$222k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen