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🗳️ Elections

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Closed
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
13%
No
87%
No (87%)Yes (13%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Closed
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$10
Liquidity
$4k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 13%. Kalshi has moved down 10pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If any member state of OPEC announces they are leaving the organization before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
13%
probability of YES
Kalshi
13%
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
closed
Market stats
24h volume$10
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusClosed