🗳️ Elections
How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?

How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026? — Exactly 1

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$17k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 5%.

About this market

If exactly 1 members of the Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?

How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026? — Exactly 0
92%
How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026? — Exactly 2
4%
How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026? — Exactly 3
4%
How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026? — 5 or more
2%
How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026? — Exactly 4
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
5%
probability of YES
Kalshi
5%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$17k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen