🗳️ Elections
Florida Senate margin of victory

Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 12+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
23%
No
77%
No (77%)Yes (23%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$4k
Liquidity
$14k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 23%. Kalshi has moved up 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Florida Senate margin of victory

Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 2+ pts
83%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 4+ pts
80%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 6+ pts
63%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 8+ pts
49%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 10+ pts
35%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 14+ pts
12%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 16+ pts
9%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 18+ pts
8%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Nixon, 2+ pts
8%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
23%
probability of YES
Kalshi
23%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$4k
Liquidity$14k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen