🗳️ Elections
Oregon Governor margin of victory

Oregon Governor margin of victory — Kotek, 5+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
44%
No
56%
No (56%)Yes (44%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$657

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 44%. Kalshi has moved down 17pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Oregon by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Oregon Governor margin of victory

Oregon Governor margin of victory — Kotek, 2+ pts
67%
Oregon Governor margin of victory — Kotek, 8+ pts
27%
Oregon Governor margin of victory — Kotek, 23+ pts
14%
Oregon Governor margin of victory — Kotek, 11+ pts
13%
Oregon Governor margin of victory — Kotek, 26+ pts
10%
Oregon Governor margin of victory — Kotek, 20+ pts
4%
Oregon Governor margin of victory — Kotek, 14+ pts
1%
Oregon Governor margin of victory — Kotek, 17+ pts
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
44%
probability of YES
Kalshi
44%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$657
CategoryElections
StatusOpen