🗳️ Elections
South Carolina Senate margin of victory

South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 7+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
38%
No
62%
No (62%)Yes (38%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$116
Liquidity
$9k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 38%. Kalshi has moved up 13pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina by 7 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · South Carolina Senate margin of victory

South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 1+ pts
83%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 3+ pts
68%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 5+ pts
39%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 9+ pts
23%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Andrews, 1+ pts
13%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 13+ pts
12%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 11+ pts
11%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 15+ pts
8%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 17+ pts
1%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 19+ pts
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
38%
probability of YES
Kalshi
38%Check
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$116
Liquidity$9k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen