🗳️ Elections
Michigan Senate winner? (Person)

Michigan Senate winner? (Person) — Abdul El-Sayed

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
71%
No
29%
No (29%)Yes (71%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$896
Liquidity
$478k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 71%. Kalshi has moved up 6pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Abdul El-Sayed wins the 2026 Michigan Senate race, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Michigan Senate winner? (Person)

Michigan Senate winner? (Person) — Mike Rogers
29%
Michigan Senate winner? (Person) — Mallory McMorrow
1%
Michigan Senate winner? (Person) — Haley Stevens
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
71%
probability of YES
Kalshi
71%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$896
Liquidity$478k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen