🗳️ Elections

Will Trump order tariffs in Aug 2026?

Live
Resolves Sep 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
81%
No
19%
No (19%)Yes (81%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$936
Liquidity
$4k

About this market

If Donald Trump has taken any executive action imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
81%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Sep 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$936
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen