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Nobel Prize in Economics 2026
Nobel Prize in Economics 2026 — Ariel Pakes
Live
Resolves Oct 14, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
22%
No
78%
No (78%)Yes (22%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$6k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 22%. Kalshi has moved down 4pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Ariel Pakes has won the 2026 Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Nobel Prize in Economics 2026
Nobel Prize in Economics 2026 — Susan Athey
13%
Nobel Prize in Economics 2026 — Richard Blundell
9%
Nobel Prize in Economics 2026 — Partha Dasgupta
7%
Nobel Prize in Economics 2026 — Robert Barro
7%
Nobel Prize in Economics 2026 — Ernst Fehr
6%
Nobel Prize in Economics 2026 — Thomas Piketty
4%
Nobel Prize in Economics 2026 — Emmanuel Saez
4%
Nobel Prize in Economics 2026 — Sendhil Mullainathan
4%
Nobel Prize in Economics 2026 — Matthew Rabin
3%
Nobel Prize in Economics 2026 — Andreu Mas-Colell
2%
Nobel Prize in Economics 2026 — Luigi Zingales
1%
Resolution
Oct 14, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$6k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen