🗳️ Elections
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner

2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Minneapolis

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
4%
No
96%
No (96%)Yes (4%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$19k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 4%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Minneapolis wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner

2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms
14%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine
10%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Doctors Without Borders
9%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Save the Children
9%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Yulia Navalnaya
8%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Mark Carney
8%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Court of Justice (ICJ)
6%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Criminal Court
4%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Reporters Without Borders (RSF)
4%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Svalbard Global Seed Vault
4%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Shehbaz Sharif
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Vanessa Nakate
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Space Station / ISS partnership
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Parents Circle – Families Forum
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Committee to Protect Journalists
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Volodymyr Zelenskyy
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Narges Mohammadi
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — UNRWA
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Sara Al-Saqqa
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Pope Leo XIV
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC)
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Association of Judges (IAJ)
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Concordis International
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Peace Research Association (IPRA)
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Yad Vashem
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Chow Hang-tung
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Matt Meyer
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — European Union
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Donald Trump
2%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
4%
probability of YES
Kalshi
4%Check
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Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$19k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen