🎯 Other
Oscar nominees: Best Picture
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Black Ball
Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
93%
No
7%
No (7%)Yes (93%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$57
Liquidity
$10k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 93%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If The Black Ball has been nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Oscar nominees: Best Picture
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Odyssey
99%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Wild Horse Nine
92%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Project Hail Mary
80%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Dune: Part Three
78%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Debut
77%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Invite
61%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Fjord
58%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — I Play Rocky
41%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — All of a Sudden
40%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Obsession
39%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — You Can See Everything
35%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Behemoth
34%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Club Kid
24%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Being Heumann
22%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Artificial
22%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Elsinore
21%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother
18%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Digger
17%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Possible Love
17%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Social Reckoning
15%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Michael
15%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Primetime
14%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth
13%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Paper Tiger
12%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — 1949 / Fatherland
12%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Sense and Sensibility
11%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Ink
9%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Bucking Fastard
8%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — I Love Boosters
8%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Tony
7%
Resolution
Dec 31, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$57
Liquidity$10k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen