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Oscar nominees: Best Picture

Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Project Hail Mary

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
75%
No
25%
No (25%)Yes (75%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$214
Liquidity
$72k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 75%. Kalshi has moved down 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Project Hail Mary has been nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Oscar nominees: Best Picture

Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Odyssey
97%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Black Ball
94%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Wild Horse Nine
89%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Dune: Part Three
82%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — You Can See Everything
82%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Debut
75%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Invite
63%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Artificial
57%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — I Play Rocky
51%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — All of a Sudden
36%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Elsinore
35%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Obsession
35%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Fjord
27%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Digger
27%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Club Kid
25%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Wildwood
25%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth
18%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Possible Love
17%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Being Heumann
15%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Michael
14%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Behemoth
11%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Primetime
9%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — 1949 / Fatherland
8%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Ink
8%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Sense and Sensibility
8%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Minotaur
6%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Drama
6%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Whisper Man
6%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Misty Green
6%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Rose
5%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
75%
probability of YES
Kalshi
75%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Dec 31, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$214
Liquidity$72k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen