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Oscar nominees: Best Picture

Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Debut

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
73%
No
27%
No (27%)Yes (73%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$14
Liquidity
$8k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 73%. Kalshi has moved down 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If The Debut has been nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Oscar nominees: Best Picture

Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Odyssey
97%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Black Ball
94%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Wild Horse Nine
88%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Dune: Part Three
83%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — You Can See Everything
79%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Project Hail Mary
73%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Invite
63%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Artificial
55%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — I Play Rocky
50%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — All of a Sudden
37%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Elsinore
32%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Obsession
30%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Fjord
27%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Wildwood
27%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Digger
23%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Being Heumann
22%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Club Kid
20%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth
19%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Possible Love
17%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Behemoth
11%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Michael
11%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Josephine
10%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — 1949 / Fatherland
8%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Ink
8%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Sense and Sensibility
8%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Minotaur
6%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Misty Green
6%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Whisper Man
6%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Primetime
5%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Parallel Tales
5%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
73%
probability of YES
Kalshi
73%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Dec 31, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$14
Liquidity$8k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen